Bad News For Democrats

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA)

( – If CNN’s pollster — yes, CNN — is correct, Democrats in the United States House of Representatives are just months away from being demolished in the 2022 midterm election.

As Breitbart recounts the words from CNN’s pollster in “CNN’s Enten: Polling Shows GOP Will Take Huge House Majority – Best Position in over 80 Years”:

“CNN’s senior data reporter Harry Enten said Monday on “The Lead” that Republicans will win a massive majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November midterm elections.” [emphasis added]

How massive of a majority? According to Enten:

“I would say they’re looking very good from the historical context. Basically, I took the best Republican positions on the generic congressional ballot at this point in midterm cycles since 1938 — that generic ballot basically is, ‘Would you vote for the generic Republican or generic Democrat in your district?’ And guess what, since 1938, the Republican two-point lead on the generic congressional ballot is the best position for Republicans at this point in any midterm cycle in over 80 years. It beats 2010 when Republicans were up a point. It beats 2014, 2002, 1998, where Democrats led by a point, and in all of those four prior examples that make this list of the top five, look at that, who won a majority? It was the Republicans who won a majority.” [emphasis added]

Like all pollsters this far out from an election, Enten hedged his bet but concluded his remarks by saying:

“[M]y estimate for the 2023 House makeup, if the election were held today, which again, it isn’t, we still have five months, five months from tomorrow, would be Republicans, 236 seats to 241 seats. Democrats, 194 to 199. That’s based off a formula of seat-to-seat race ratings from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections.” [emphasis added]

Bottom line: Unless something dramatic happens in the next five months, CNN’s chief pollster expects the Republicans to easily push Nancy Pelosi out of the Speaker’s chair in the United States House of Representatives.